Morning Consult | Bloomberg News Partnership Survey:
Trump Leads Biden in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Biden leads in Michigan.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
- Former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in six of the seven surveyed 2024 swing states: Arizona (+4 percentage points), Georgia (+9 points), Nevada (+4 points), North Carolina (+9 points), Pennsylvania (+3 points) and Wisconsin (+2 points). Biden leads Trump by 1 point in Michigan. With the exception of Georgia and North Carolina, these results fall within each state’s margin of error. These results are from a ballot with President Joe Biden, former President Donald Trump, and third-party candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, as well as options to write in another name, answer “don’t know/no opinion” or say they wouldn’t vote.
- On this ballot, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drew support from roughly 1 in 10 voters in each swing state, while 1-2% of voters in each state supported Cornel West and 2-3% supported a write-in candidate.
- When third-party candidates are removed from the ballot, Biden loses his lead in Michigan, as both he and Trump earned 43% support. The remaining six states continued to lean in favor of Trump in a head-to-head, including Nevada, where Biden led Trump by 3 points last month but is now trailing him by 3 points.
- In each of the seven states, of the 17 issues listed, 2-4% of voters identified the Israel-Hamas war as the most important when deciding who to back in 2024. Also in each state, voters reported having more trust in Trump to handle the war than in Biden. Consistent with last month’s data, the economy is the most important issue to voters in each of the seven states.
- To see what voters in each swing state are prioritizing on the 2024 ballot and their trust in Biden vs. Trump to handle each issue, download the data files below.
Via: Morning Consult
