By Joe Handrick

Originally published 11:45pm March 25, 2025

Absentees are running 48% higher than at same point in 2023.

The non-MKE counties in SE WI (except Kenosha) continue to run above the state average.

Washington Cty is 103% higher than at this time in ’23.

Dane and MKE are at 46% higher — just a bit below state average.

The Bottom Line

To win Schimel must do ~6% better than Dan Kelly did in his 2023 loss.

So Schimel needs to convert ’23 voters AND/OR increase turnout. How much of the increase in red county abs vote is cannibalizing election day vote? Hard to know. But increasing early vote is a good start to increasing overall turnout.